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Red335
3636B35.2
2471165.9
404338.1
Blue99
2374B-0.5
363672.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251129010020030040050033599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+226Teleop
+236Endgame
+236Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +219
61Coral scored#18
221Coral points64
7Processor algae#2
13Net algae#5
42Processor points12
52Net points20
94Algae points32
315Total teleop96
Reef
27L4#8
19L3#3
8L2#3
8L1 · trough#4
82Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +236
0Foul points0
335Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.97.6
144.2151.7
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 93.3
72.62.3
94.091.7
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
Second
38.17.6
30.437.9
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
red by 37.2
0.93.9
10.56.7
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
Third
35.212.6
44.056.6
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
red by 35.8
-0.53.9
26.622.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed