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Red42
273333.4
703446.6
26352.5
Blue72
28986.8
1540C17.8
237431.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1434801002003004005006007008004272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
17Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +34
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
25Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
0Cage & park10
0Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
42Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.65.4
62.056.6
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 14.9
31.61.1
36.237.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Second
33.45.4
48.943.5
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
red by 15.6
17.81.9
5.97.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Third
2635
#14
2.55.4
9.54.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
blue by 4.3
2898
#12
6.81.1
10.411.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed