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Red359
2471165.9
404338.1
1540C17.8
Blue38
252126.5
2374B-0.5
597515.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23747010020030040050035938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+331Teleop
+321Endgame
+321Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +321
53Coral scored#4
191Coral points14
14Processor algae#0
16Net algae#1
84Processor points0
64Net points4
148Algae points4
339Total teleop18
Reef
18L4#1
18L3#1
9L2#1
8L1 · trough#1
83Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
10Cage & park20
10Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +321
0Foul points0
359Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.910.6
151.7162.3
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 139.3
26.52.2
40.438.3
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Second
38.110.6
37.948.5
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
red by 22.4
5975
#11
15.62.2
4.82.6
Auto0.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Third
17.817.6
7.725.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 18.3
-0.53.4
22.719.3
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed