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Red338
2471165.9
273333.4
2374B-0.5
Blue102
703446.6
237431.6
3636B35.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813102004006008001,0001,2001,400338102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+226Teleop
+236Endgame
+236Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
15Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +236
70Coral scored#14
251Coral points49
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
24Processor points6
28Net points12
52Algae points18
303Total teleop67
Reef
28L4#5
20L3#5
14L2#5
9L1 · trough#3
82Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
20Cage & park10
20Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +236
0Foul points0
338Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.914.6
63.077.6
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 119.3
46.62.0
63.461.4
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
33.414.6
31.446.1
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
blue by 1.8
35.210.8
35.224.4
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
Third
-0.524.4
10.434.8
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0
blue by 32.2
31.62.0
26.624.6
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed