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Red37
703446.6
273333.4
Blue538
252126.5
363672.6
2471165.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133178030040050060070080037538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+481
Endgame+501
Fouls+501
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
0Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +466
8Coral scored#98
29Coral points353
0Processor algae#9
2Net algae#24
0Processor points54
8Net points96
8Algae points150
37Total teleop503
Reef
3L4#42
1L3#28
2L2#19
2L1 · trough#11
10Game pieces#133
BargeBlue +20
0Cage & park20
0Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +501
0Foul points0
37Total score538

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.66.4
61.455.0
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
blue by 119.3
165.924.8
77.6102.4
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
Second
33.46.4
46.139.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
blue by 39.1
72.624.8
55.680.4
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
Third
0.910.7
17.97.2
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
blue by 25.6
26.524.8
24.249.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed