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Red286
2471165.9
273333.4
252126.5
Blue77
3636B35.2
703446.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22684020030040050028677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+199Teleop
+209Endgame
+209Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +190
48Coral scored#15
171Coral points53
5Processor algae#1
15Net algae#3
30Processor points6
60Net points12
90Algae points18
261Total teleop71
Reef
19L4#9
15L3#4
10L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
70Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +209
0Foul points0
286Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.96.1
102.4108.5
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 119.3
46.60.8
55.054.1
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
33.46.1
39.745.8
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
blue by 1.8
35.21.4
24.423.1
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
Third
26.56.1
49.055.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 25.6
0.91.4
7.25.8
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed