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Red40
237431.6
1540C17.8
404338.1
Blue162
28986.8
2374B-0.5
363672.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60129010015020025030035040162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+112
Endgame+122
Fouls+122
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points2
6Total auto2
TeleoperatedBlue +116
6Coral scored#31
20Coral points112
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
34Total teleop150
Reef
3L4#12
2L3#11
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
0Cage & park10
0Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +122
0Foul points0
40Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.11.6
22.120.5
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
blue by 34.5
72.63.4
75.278.6
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
Second
31.61.6
22.320.6
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
red by 24.9
2898
#12
6.83.4
7.010.4
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Third
17.83.2
17.814.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 18.3
-0.55.7
26.131.8
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed