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Red12
252126.5
273333.4
26352.5
Blue448
2471165.9
703446.6
363672.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99291020040050012448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+426
Endgame+436
Fouls+436
AutonomousBlue +15
5Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
5Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +411
2Coral scored#79
7Coral points284
0Processor algae#11
0Net algae#17
0Processor points66
0Net points68
0Algae points134
7Total teleop418
Reef
1L4#32
1L3#27
0L2#15
0L1 · trough#8
2Game pieces#110
BargeBlue +10
0Cage & park10
0Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +436
0Foul points0
12Total score448

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.46.8
45.839.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
blue by 132.4
165.913.2
108.5121.7
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
Second
26.56.8
55.148.3
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
blue by 46.0
72.613.2
78.691.8
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
Third
2635
#14
2.56.8
13.56.7
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End1.6
blue by 44.1
46.613.2
54.167.3
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed