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Red125
366352.9
357411.3
363655.7
Blue104
95748.5
404342.3
28989.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12899406080120140160180200125104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
67Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
125Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.1
55.555.7
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
red by 7.1
957
#3
48.50.1
48.348.4
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
52.90.1
52.752.8
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 10.5
42.30.1
42.142.2
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
Third
3574
#24
11.30.1
11.111.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 1.8
2898
#28
9.50.1
9.39.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6