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Red116
154035.4
669637.4
291513.1
Blue118
95748.5
404342.3
28989.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87104406080120140160116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points26
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
72Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +2
12Foul points6
116Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.4
36.937.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
blue by 11.2
957
#3
48.50.3
48.048.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
35.40.4
34.935.4
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 7.0
42.30.3
41.942.1
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
Third
2915
#21
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 3.6
2898
#28
9.50.3
9.09.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6