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Red107
95748.5
404342.3
28989.5
Blue88
644332.3
944616.8
703430.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10682406012014016018010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
57Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points8
107Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
48.50.2
47.848.0
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 16.2
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Second
42.30.2
41.741.9
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 11.6
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
Third
2898
#28
9.50.2
8.89.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 7.3
9446
#23
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9