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Red31
247134.2
943019.1
291513.1
Blue22
154035.4
28989.5
597015.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89640501001503122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
12Total teleop6
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
31Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#12
34.24.9
33.128.1
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
blue by 1.2
35.44.0
33.829.8
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
9430
#18
19.14.9
25.220.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 3.8
5970
#19
15.24.0
18.414.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
Third
2915
#21
13.14.9
17.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 3.6
2898
#28
9.52.4
6.13.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed