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Red15
59754.7
142534.6
Blue54
357411.3
669637.4
381211.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736802040601001201401601554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+39
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +47
0Coral scored#10
0Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop47
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#4
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
8Foul points0
15Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.66.3
30.624.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
blue by 2.8
37.40.6
20.219.6
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
Second
8.86.0
17.511.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 2.8
3812
#25
11.60.6
18.818.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Third
5975
#30
4.76.3
15.08.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 6.6
3574
#24
11.30.6
20.620.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed