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Red76
95748.5
291513.1
184411.7
Blue71
263521.2
944616.8
273314.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361405070807671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+29Teleop
+17Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
54Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points12
76Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
48.51.2
26.928.1
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 27.3
2635
#15
21.20.4
15.214.9
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
Second
2915
#21
13.11.2
12.313.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 3.7
9446
#23
16.80.6
19.518.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
1844
#29
11.71.2
15.516.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 3.2
2733
#26
14.90.6
17.617.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned