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Red23
68459.5
683126.2
28989.5
Blue76
644332.3
943813.3
669637.4
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337902040601001201402376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +5
7Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
7Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
14Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
23Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6831
#16
26.21.1
21.920.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 11.2
37.40.7
19.620.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
Second
6845
#27
9.50.7
7.36.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 22.8
32.30.7
32.733.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Third
2898
#28
9.50.7
3.73.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 3.8
9438
#17
13.30.4
11.211.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed