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Red10
597015.2
466221.3
255721.2
Blue106
366352.9
84721.7
142534.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5889020408010012014010106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +65
0Coral scored#13
0Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#4
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
1Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points12
10Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4662
#13
21.35.1
16.111.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
blue by 31.6
52.91.8
40.442.2
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
Second
2557
#22
21.25.1
25.420.3
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 13.4
34.61.8
24.326.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Third
5970
#19
15.25.1
14.49.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
blue by 6.4
847
#11
21.71.1
12.713.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned