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Red128
263521.2
247134.2
28989.5
Blue34
381211.6
68459.5
944616.8
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5647020408010012012834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+52Teleop
+72Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#4
56Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
66Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
22Foul points0
128Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#12
34.24.7
28.332.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 17.4
9446
#23
16.82.4
18.916.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
2635
#15
21.22.8
14.917.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
red by 9.6
3812
#25
11.62.4
14.211.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Third
2898
#28
9.52.8
3.05.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 0.1
6845
#27
9.51.4
6.75.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed