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Red35
703430.8
357411.3
154035.4
Blue27
273314.9
943813.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions953602060801201403527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
12Total teleop16
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
35Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.44.9
29.925.0
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 20.4
2733
#26
14.91.0
17.016.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Second
30.82.9
27.124.1
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
red by 17.5
9438
#17
13.30.6
11.611.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Third
3574
#24
11.34.9
22.017.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 2.5
8.81.0
7.56.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed