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Red39
943019.1
255721.2
683126.2
Blue43
291513.1
448832.3
466221.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71510204060801001203943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
24Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
39Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6831
#16
26.22.8
21.819.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 6.1
4488
#10
32.30.7
27.426.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
Second
2557
#22
21.22.8
23.821.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 0.1
4662
#13
21.30.7
11.310.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
9430
#18
19.12.8
18.615.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 6.0
2915
#21
13.10.7
10.710.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed