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Red64
669637.4
944616.8
59754.7
Blue46
597015.2
381211.6
367323.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514302060801006446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+30Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
64Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.0
20.822.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
red by 14.3
3673
#14
23.00.7
21.522.2
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Second
9446
#23
16.82.0
16.518.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 1.5
5970
#19
15.20.7
6.47.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
Third
5975
#30
4.72.0
8.910.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 6.9
3812
#25
11.60.7
11.812.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned