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Red66
644332.3
703430.8
404342.3
Blue22
357411.3
68459.5
184411.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110310204060801001201401606622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
8Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
37Total teleop4
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points6
66Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.33.0
34.431.4
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 30.6
1844
#29
11.72.3
13.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Second
32.33.0
34.531.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
red by 21.0
3574
#24
11.32.3
17.214.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
30.81.8
24.122.3
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
red by 21.3
6845
#27
9.51.4
5.23.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed