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Red64
273314.9
28989.5
142534.6
Blue91
95748.5
943813.3
363655.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52920204060801001201406491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
39Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
64Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.4
29.731.1
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
blue by 21.1
55.71.7
35.737.4
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
Second
2733
#26
14.91.4
16.017.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 33.6
957
#3
48.51.7
29.230.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Third
2898
#28
9.50.8
5.86.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 3.8
9438
#17
13.31.0
11.012.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed