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Red114
366352.9
247134.2
Blue67
84721.7
263521.2
154035.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9863020408012014016011467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
19Coral scored#7
67Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
85Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
114Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.93.0
42.745.7
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 17.5
35.40.3
25.024.7
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
2471
#12
34.23.0
32.935.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 12.5
847
#11
21.70.2
15.215.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Third
8.83.0
6.59.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 12.5
2635
#15
21.20.2
17.617.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed