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Red48
357411.3
367323.0
255721.2
Blue65
291513.1
68459.5
703430.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6536020801001204865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
30Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
48Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3673
#14
23.01.8
22.220.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 7.8
30.81.9
22.324.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
Second
2557
#22
21.21.8
21.019.2
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 8.1
2915
#21
13.13.2
10.013.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
3574
#24
11.31.8
14.913.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 1.8
6845
#27
9.51.9
3.95.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned