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Red67
367323.0
247134.2
184411.7
Blue114
363655.7
466221.3
381211.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7472020406010012014016067114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+5
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
52Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points42
67Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#12
34.20.1
37.637.5
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
blue by 21.5
55.70.6
41.041.6
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
Second
3673
#14
23.00.1
20.420.3
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
red by 1.8
4662
#13
21.30.6
17.017.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
1844
#29
11.70.1
10.09.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
3812
#25
11.60.6
8.89.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned