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Red74
255721.2
291513.1
943813.3
Blue49
644332.3
263521.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51622040801007449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
55Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
74Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#22
21.21.5
19.220.7
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 11.1
32.31.9
28.426.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Second
9438
#17
13.30.9
11.612.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 8.0
2635
#15
21.21.1
17.416.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
Third
2915
#21
13.11.5
13.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 4.3
8.81.9
7.86.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned