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Red108
448832.3
142534.6
597015.2
Blue28
59754.7
357411.3
943019.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673202040608010012010828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+60Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
58Total teleop21
Reef
9L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
108Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.65.0
27.332.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
red by 15.5
9430
#18
19.11.2
12.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
4488
#10
32.35.0
26.631.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
red by 21.0
3574
#24
11.31.2
13.111.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
5970
#19
15.25.0
6.511.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
red by 10.5
5975
#30
4.71.2
10.28.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed