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Red93
247134.2
683126.2
669637.4
Blue126
84721.7
95748.5
466221.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865720408010012014093126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
20Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
67Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points12
93Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.7
22.824.5
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
blue by 11.2
957
#3
48.56.4
30.937.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
2471
#12
34.21.7
35.937.6
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 12.5
847
#11
21.73.8
15.018.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Third
6831
#16
26.21.7
19.020.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
red by 4.9
4662
#13
21.36.4
10.617.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned