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Red111
154035.4
95748.5
448832.3
Blue28
597015.2
68459.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211605010015020011128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+85Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
12Coral scored#0
42Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
60Total teleop0
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#0
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
111Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
48.51.1
41.242.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 33.3
5970
#19
15.20.2
10.811.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
Second
35.41.1
24.325.4
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 25.8
6845
#27
9.50.1
6.36.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
4488
#10
32.31.1
35.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
red by 23.5
8.80.2
9.39.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned