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Red49
273314.9
404342.3
59754.7
Blue48
28989.5
669637.4
255721.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666002040801001204948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
39Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
49Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.4
35.634.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 5.0
37.40.9
28.827.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
Second
2733
#26
14.91.4
16.615.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 6.3
2557
#22
21.20.9
20.719.7
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
5975
#30
4.71.4
8.97.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 4.7
2898
#28
9.50.6
6.96.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed