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Red51
381211.6
184411.7
84721.7
Blue77
367323.0
703430.8
943813.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386602060801005177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
24Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points6
51Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#11
21.70.4
19.419.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
blue by 9.1
30.80.7
24.825.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
Second
1844
#29
11.70.6
9.99.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 11.3
3673
#14
23.01.2
20.321.5
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Third
3812
#25
11.60.6
9.48.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 1.7
9438
#17
13.30.7
12.513.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned