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Red98
944616.8
366352.9
644332.3
Blue100
943019.1
142534.6
95748.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128840608010012014016098100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+8Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
76Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
98Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.3
51.451.0
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 4.3
957
#3
48.51.9
39.441.2
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
32.30.3
26.626.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
blue by 2.3
34.61.9
32.334.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Third
9446
#23
16.80.3
23.022.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 2.3
9430
#18
19.11.9
11.513.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned