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Red48
247134.2
466221.3
68459.5
Blue72
154035.4
683126.2
291513.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68683040506080901001104872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
22Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
48Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#12
34.21.6
37.535.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
blue by 1.2
35.41.0
23.324.3
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
4662
#13
21.31.6
17.616.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
blue by 4.9
6831
#16
26.21.0
25.026.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Third
6845
#27
9.50.9
7.26.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 3.6
2915
#21
13.11.0
14.715.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed