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Red49
597015.2
263521.2
357411.3
Blue117
448832.3
363655.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4095020608012014016049117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+84
Endgame+74
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points38
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#3
0Processor points24
4Net points12
4Algae points36
18Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points0
49Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#15
21.20.4
16.315.9
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
blue by 34.4
55.73.3
41.644.9
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
Second
5970
#19
15.20.6
11.510.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
blue by 17.1
4488
#10
32.33.3
31.635.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
Third
3574
#24
11.30.6
11.911.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 2.5
8.83.3
6.09.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed