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Red84
703430.8
381211.6
366352.9
Blue57
597015.2
273314.9
683126.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96480204060801201408457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
84Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.0
50.050.1
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 26.7
6831
#16
26.20.5
26.827.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Second
30.80.0
26.226.3
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
red by 15.6
5970
#19
15.20.5
11.011.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
Third
3812
#25
11.60.0
7.47.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 3.3
2733
#26
14.90.5
13.914.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned