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Red62
255721.2
263521.2
Blue55
247134.2
59754.7
95748.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501040204060801201401606255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
47Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
62Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#15
21.20.7
17.618.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
blue by 27.3
957
#3
48.53.3
42.339.0
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Second
2557
#22
21.21.1
21.022.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 12.9
2471
#12
34.23.3
37.133.8
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Third
8.81.1
9.510.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
red by 4.0
5975
#30
4.73.6
7.64.0
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed