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Red94
466221.3
154035.4
644332.3
Blue36
28989.5
944616.8
367323.0
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75542040601001201409436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+34Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
49Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
94Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.42.5
25.427.9
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 12.3
3673
#14
23.01.4
22.220.8
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Second
32.32.7
26.329.0
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
red by 15.6
9446
#23
16.81.4
21.820.4
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
4662
#13
21.32.7
16.018.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
red by 11.8
2898
#28
9.51.0
6.45.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed