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Red27
381211.6
273314.9
291513.1
Blue89
404342.3
943019.1
366352.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341150501001502789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+66
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
3Coral scored#12
11Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
15Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
27Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#26
14.91.3
15.313.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 38.0
52.91.0
51.050.0
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
Second
2915
#21
13.11.3
15.714.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 29.3
42.31.0
34.333.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
Third
3812
#25
11.61.3
8.87.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 7.5
9430
#18
19.11.0
13.412.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed