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Red133
68459.5
943019.1
363655.7
Blue117
184411.7
366352.9
154035.4
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719820406080120140133117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
73Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
24Foul points0
133Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.73.4
49.252.7
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
red by 2.8
52.92.5
50.152.5
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
Second
9430
#18
19.13.4
14.117.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
blue by 16.3
35.42.5
27.930.4
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Third
6845
#27
9.52.6
7.09.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 2.2
1844
#29
11.72.7
11.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned