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Red79
84721.7
597015.2
404342.3
Blue22
291513.1
944616.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7645020601001201407922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +52
11Coral scored#1
38Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
56Total teleop4
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points6
79Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.8
37.938.7
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 25.6
9446
#23
16.82.3
20.117.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
847
#11
21.70.7
20.020.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
red by 8.6
2915
#21
13.12.3
14.412.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
5970
#19
15.20.8
11.212.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
red by 6.4
8.82.3
10.27.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed