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Red102
142534.6
683126.2
247134.2
Blue50
59754.7
273314.9
28989.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151105010015010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
7Net algae#3
6Processor points0
28Net points12
34Algae points12
68Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
102Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.4
33.834.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
red by 19.7
2733
#26
14.92.0
14.116.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Second
2471
#12
34.20.4
33.533.8
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
red by 24.7
2898
#28
9.51.6
4.46.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
6831
#16
26.20.4
27.728.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
red by 21.5
5975
#30
4.72.2
4.16.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed