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Red91
366352.9
943813.3
357411.3
Blue30
448832.3
255721.2
184411.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84822040601001201401609130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+49Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
40Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
12Foul points0
91Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.2
52.552.7
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 20.6
4488
#10
32.33.7
35.932.2
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
Second
9438
#17
13.30.1
12.312.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 8.0
2557
#22
21.23.7
25.822.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
3574
#24
11.30.2
12.212.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 0.4
1844
#29
11.74.0
13.89.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed