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Red36
683126.2
357411.3
944616.8
Blue82
255721.2
366352.9
273314.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561032040801201401603682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
36Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6831
#16
26.21.8
28.026.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 26.7
52.90.7
52.752.0
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
Second
9446
#23
16.81.8
17.816.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 4.5
2557
#22
21.20.7
22.021.4
Auto2.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
3574
#24
11.32.0
12.310.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 3.6
2733
#26
14.90.7
16.115.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed