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Red52
448832.3
59754.7
703430.8
Blue14
381211.6
943019.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001201405214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
8Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
34Total teleop4
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
52Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#10
32.32.3
29.126.9
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
red by 13.3
9430
#18
19.14.0
20.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
30.81.4
28.427.1
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
red by 19.2
3812
#25
11.64.0
18.214.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Third
5975
#30
4.72.3
8.76.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 4.0
8.84.0
11.57.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed