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Red111
95748.5
404342.3
28989.5
Blue64
84721.7
466221.3
597015.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105522040608012014016011164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#5
45Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
71Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
111Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
48.50.4
46.747.1
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 26.9
847
#11
21.70.0
21.321.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
42.30.4
40.540.9
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 21.1
4662
#13
21.30.0
20.820.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
2898
#28
9.50.4
7.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 5.7
5970
#19
15.20.0
14.814.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6