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Red105
154035.4
669637.4
291513.1
Blue70
448832.3
247134.2
273314.9
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8388406010012010570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
73Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
105Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.3
34.935.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
red by 3.2
2471
#12
34.20.3
34.734.4
Auto5.2
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Second
35.40.3
32.933.2
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 3.0
4488
#10
32.30.3
32.932.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
Third
2915
#21
13.10.3
10.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 1.8
2733
#26
14.90.3
15.515.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7