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Red48
406126.4
378621.0
961314.3
Blue89
214736.6
367443.7
237422.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579601502004889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
36Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points6
48Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.5
20.418.8
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 17.3
43.70.4
29.629.2
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
Second
3786
#22
21.01.5
16.214.6
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 15.6
36.60.4
29.929.5
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
Third
9613
#35
14.31.5
17.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 8.2
2374
#14
22.50.4
21.521.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed