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Red59
634336.4
299029.6
84715.2
Blue115
28986.1
255024.2
95552.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8473020406010012014016059115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
0Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#19
33Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
47Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
8Foul points0
59Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.43.7
23.119.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
blue by 16.0
955
#1
52.33.6
25.829.4
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
2990
#12
29.63.7
27.924.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 5.3
2550
#20
24.23.6
19.723.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Third
847
#34
15.23.7
21.217.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End1.6
red by 9.1
2898
#30
6.13.6
19.322.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned