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Red46
593721.8
703426.4
412512.7
Blue86
99730.2
292622.8
853216.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91810501001502004686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
36Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
46Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#27
26.45.2
30.024.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
blue by 3.8
997
#5
30.20.7
22.922.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Second
5937
#31
21.85.2
22.517.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
blue by 0.9
2926
#23
22.80.7
27.226.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
4125
#18
12.75.2
26.321.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 3.5
8532
#13
16.10.7
21.721.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned