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Red14
13599.0
68459.9
592021.4
Blue22
263516.6
568313.0
646522.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667002040801001201401422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +13
1Coral scored#4
2Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
2Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
14Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.44.9
21.416.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 0.9
6465
#15
22.24.3
20.816.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Second
6845
#33
9.94.9
16.611.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 6.7
2635
#25
16.64.3
20.816.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
Third
1359
#36
9.04.9
20.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 4.1
5683
#11
13.04.3
19.515.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed